Articles for tag: assessment, Bayes, Bayesian, documentation, forensic, forensic psychiatry, management, risk, thinking

Bayesian reasoning in forensic psychiatry

Bayesian reasoning is not, in this context, a demand for spurious mathematics. It is a disciplined way of thinking under uncertainty. Its value in forensic psychiatry lies in requiring the assessor to distinguish between the baseline picture, the new evidence, the weight of that evidence, and the updated judgement that follows. In ordinary professional language, the question is simple: what was already known, what has now emerged, how much should it change the view, and why? [See also: Applying Bayesian ...

The Architecture of Systemic and Cognitive Stasis

Most of the time, we think we’re reacting to the world as it is right now, but we’re usually just living out the consequences of a past that refused to fade. A single event—maybe a project that blew up or a warning heard in childhood—somehow stops being just a memory and hardens into a universal law. It creates a state where the clock stops on that specific subject, effectively locking reason in a basement while the rest of the world ...

Key Issues Extracted from the Verita Report: Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (October 2025)

This AI Assisted summary is fully traceable to the source document, ensuring transparency and accountability. Nobody in their right mind has the time to read all of 302 pages. Therefore, AI was used to assist. There may be errors in this publication. Readers must check all page number references and meanings extracted for accuracy and relevance. The full report (302 pages) is at https://media.cuh.nhs.uk/documents/Verita_report_-_October_2025_1.pdf Some may be wondering, “What has this got to do with psychiatry?” I am deeply sorry ...

Upward bullying: under-recognised in health services

When people speak of ‘bullying’ at the workplace unknowingly they are referring to one type of bullying, called “downward bullying.” This is where a person in a position of authority abuses their power usually to suborodinate workers or those are a similar level. A growing body of evidence suggests that bullying can also flow in the opposite direction. This phenomenon, known as “upward bullying,” occurs when subordinates engage in repeated aggressive or disrespectful behaviours towards their superiors, undermining their authority ...

Defining and Exploring Cultural Restitution

Abstract “Cultural Restitution” is a term coined here to describe a neutral phenomenon in organisational dynamics. It addresses the well-observed tendency for teams and their established cultural norms to revert to a previous state following the introduction and initial adoption of new practices or standards. Borrowing from physics, the paper posits that organisational culture possesses an inherent restorative force, akin to a material returning to its original shape, pulling it back towards a former equilibrium, even if dysfunctional. Cultural Restitution ...

The Universal Nature of Patterns: Relevance to Cultures and Change Management

Recently – as I’m located well north in the UK – I’ve been observing patterns in cultures that vary from ‘the South’. A few days ago, some ‘folk’ asked me about what’s different. People broke out in laughter when I said, “Well, the prominent thing I noticed is that toilets flush more violently up here.” No joke – it’s true. In this very northern part of the UK they don’t fool around with shit in the toilet. One flush and ...

The 2024 Southport stabbings: A Case of Risk Lacunae and Protective Nets

The 2024 Southport stabbings refers to a heinous attack carried out Axel Rudakubana. He committed three murders and ten attempted murders. This article is constructed largely from information in the public domain and is being updated at intervals, as new information comes to light. Note again our ‘Fat Disclaimer‘. Rudakubana was 17 years old at the time he committed the offences. Axel Rudakubana was convicted of multiple charges related to the 2024 Southport stabbings. He pleaded guilty to: He was ...

You are the Boss – The Locum Psychiatrist’s Manual

This post is derived from a manual that I constructed some time ago. It summarises a book that I am publishing. The summary constitutes opinion on how a locum business ought to be run. It is not advice even though it may appear to be directive and refers to ‘you’. The author owes you no duty of care. That’s why my opinion is not advice! No liabilities accepted. Sue yourself if you follow any of this and you suffer damage ...

Functional assessment in psychiatry

Functional assessments in psychiatry refer to a systematic evaluation of an individual’s cognitive, emotional, and behavioural abilities in the context of their daily living and social environment. The primary aim of such assessments is to understand how a person’s mental health condition affects their ability to perform everyday tasks, maintain relationships, and fulfil their roles in various settings such as home, work, and community. While the publisher and author(s) have used their best efforts in preparing information at this website, ...

Understanding Your Rights: What Doctors Need to Know About the NHS Complaints Processes

Complaints – the very word can strike a chord in many of us, especially doctors working within the NHS, a system deeply rooted in service to the public. We understand that patients or their loved ones expressing dissatisfaction are ultimately highlighting opportunities for improvement. It is crucial that these concerns are met with a robust complaints process, ensuring a just and thorough examination of issues raised. Yet, balance is equally essential – the rights of those responding to a complaint ...